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This number is an estimate and is based on several different factors, including information on the number of votes cast early as well as information provided to our vote reporters on Election Day from county election officials. The figure can change as NBC News gathers new information. But a poll released Wednesday had some data that might concern Trump’s campaign. Six in 10 voters said the charges in the Manhattan case — considered the weakest of the four indictments against the former president — were either very serious or somewhat serious, according to a Quinnipiac University poll of registered voters. The district — which became a battleground district after the redistricting following the 2020 Census and is another one targeted by national Democrats — is represented by progressive firebrand Rep. Katie Porter, who is vacating the seat to run for U.S.
Dem presidential primary
The Riverside County seat also became slightly more favorable to Democrats in the last round of redistricting, with the addition of Palm Springs and Rancho Mirage on its eastern edge. “That said, Democrats remain the favorites here because Porter spent so much of her money defining Scott Baugh negatively last cycle,” Wasserman said, though he noted that Min’s DUI still offered opportunity for Republicans. Whitesides has far more money in his arsenal, with $3 million on hand to Garcia’s roughly $1.8 million reserve, according to the most recent campaign finance filings.
Biden Vows to Bring Home Detained U.S. Journalists
The country came thisclose in 1876, and 2000 was within 5 electoral votes... Latinos, Black voters and young voters all view the economy negatively. Majorities overall disapprove of Biden's handling of the economy and more voters say they think the economy was better under Trump. Trump and groups supporting him have spent nothing there so far. He's qualified so far for the ballot in three states — Michigan, Hawaii and Utah.
Pennsylvania House Primary Election 2024: Live Results - NBC News
Pennsylvania House Primary Election 2024: Live Results.
Posted: Thu, 25 Apr 2024 21:26:41 GMT [source]
Here are Biden and Trump's paths to victory in the Electoral College
Though majority white, it also has a large and politically influential Asian American community. In 2022, Republican Scott Baugh lost to Porter by less than 4 points, or fewer than 10,000 votes, despite being heavily outspent. He’s giving it another go this year, all but locking up the GOP vote. Spanning from Huntington and Newport beaches to Irvine, this is the only open seat among the most competitive California races. It's being vacated by Democratic Rep. Katie Porter, who is running for Senate. Under California’s open primary rules on March 5, the top two finishers in each race will advance to the general election contest, regardless of which party they belong to.
Presidential Polling
“Right now, the single most vulnerable Republican incumbent is John Duarte, in my view,” Wasserman said of the California races. This is yet another rematch from 2022, with Democratic former federal prosecutor Will Rollins once again hoping to unseat Rep. Ken Calvert (R-Corona), the longest-serving member of California’s congressional delegation. “I think Tran has much more of an uphill battle to be able to get his issues and his name into voters’ minds,” DeSipio said.
Registered voters who did not cast a ballot in 2020 are almost evenly divided, Pew found. That may not seem like much, and some of those voters could change their minds. But in an election that both sides expect to be close, even a relatively small number of lost votes could matter. In interviews last week with voters in Arizona, a key swing state, one supporter dismissed the fury around Trump’s actions on Jan. 6, 2021, as overblown. Other supporters and potential supporters said their concerns about the economy and immigration and frustration with President Biden were more important than anything else.
Democrats have also zeroed in on Kennedy’s equivocal statements on abortion, including one in August in which he said he would sign a national ban on abortions after 15 weeks. Recent polls have shown Kennedy getting more support from the Republican camp, which could be “a function of our getting the word out about him,” Smith said. That has included a public endorsement of Biden earlier this month by 15 members of the Kennedy family. Now, Biden appears to have regained some ground, especially among his fellow Democrats, and the race appears to be back to a dead heat, at least in national surveys.
CA-40: A close SoCal seat-to-watch
Charges have been dropped against a defendant who reached a cooperation deal, and the remaining 15 have pleaded not guilty. That’s by design — from the establishment of the electoral college to today. If Johnson cares about protecting democracy, the facts point to where he should start. When the Democratic governor vetoed attempts to suppress the Black vote, the Republican state Legislature overrode the veto.
Though Democrats have a substantial advantage in party registration, voters here often go for Republicans; President Joe Biden would have won the district if it existed in 2020, but Gov. Gavin Newsom narrowly lost it last year. This Central Valley district has perhaps the most unusual shape of any congressional seat in California. It wraps from western Bakersfield around southern Kern County and travels up the eastern edge of the valley along the Sierra Nevada, with long fingers that extend west into cities including Visalia, Hanford and Clovis.
Trump is back in a New York courtroom as his hush money trial resumes. In D.C., the Supreme Court considers if he should be immune for actions while president. Democratic infighting in the 2024 primary, when Salas faced competition from fellow Democrat Melissa Hurtado, cost the party establishment millions to consolidate support behind Salas. The 22nd is a majority Latino district that includes parts of Kern, Tulare and Kings counties, several small towns and a portion of Bakersfield. Voters here favored Biden over Trump by 13 percentage points in 2020, making Valadao one of the most vulnerable GOP incumbents in the country.
In 1988 David Duke, a Grand Wizard of the KKK, ran for president. In January a new map to include a second Black district was approved. In February there was another lawsuit to try to stop it.
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